登录 注册

Falling Behind Drives Unsafe Development in an Idealised AI Race Experiment

🔗 访问原文
🔗 Access Paper

📝 摘要
Abstract

Technological races create tension between speed and safety: actors may gain by moving faster than competitors, even when risky development is harmful. This is prominent in debates about artificial intelligence (AI), where competitive pressure is often argued to incentivise riskier, less safety-conscious development. We study this using a framed behavioural experiment based on an idealised AI race, in which paired participants repeatedly chose between Safe and Unsafe development under an uncertain time horizon. Unsafe development gave faster progress and higher immediate payoffs but accumulated private risk up to a treatment-specific maximum of 10\%, 60\%, or 90\%; the race's competitive structure was held constant, and only this maximum risk varied. Neither the pre-registered comparison between risk levels nor the role of elicited risk preferences was supported by the data. Instead, exploratory analyses motivated by the task's repeated structure show that Unsafe behaviour is shaped less by risk preferences than by the evolving strategic state of the race: participants are more likely to choose Unsafe after their opponent does so, being ahead reduces Unsafe play while falling behind increases it, and first-round choices predict later behaviour. To interpret these effects we introduce a reduced evolutionary model with four strategies -- Always Safe, Always Unsafe, Conditionally Safe, and Conditionally Antisocial Safe -- which reproduces the treatment effect and shows how conditional Unsafe behaviour can be favoured by competitive race dynamics. Together, the experiment and model show that unsafe development can emerge from early behavioural momentum, opponent behaviour, and fear of falling behind, rather than from risk preferences alone, suggesting policy should focus on reducing competitive pressure and promoting cooperation in AI development rather than only individual risk.

📊 文章统计
Article Statistics

基础数据
Basic Stats

182 浏览
Views
0 下载
Downloads
17 引用
Citations

引用趋势
Citation Trend

阅读国家分布
Country Distribution

阅读机构分布
Institution Distribution

月度浏览趋势
Monthly Views

相关关键词
Related Keywords

影响因子分析
Impact Analysis

3.40 综合评分
Overall Score
引用影响力
Citation Impact
浏览热度
View Popularity
下载频次
Download Frequency

📄 相关文章
Related Articles

海洋智能分析Ocean AI Analysis

正在分析中,请稍候…Analyzing, please wait…
海洋智能体 🌊
海洋智能体
AI科研助手 · 2983篇文献
我看到你正在阅读一篇文献,需要我帮你解读摘要、推荐相关论文,或者分析研究方法论吗?