超越Beta Lorenz曲线:贫穷和不平等估计的新参数家庭

Beyond the Beta Lorenz Curve: A New Parametric Family for Poverty and Inequality Estimation

The estimation of inequality and poverty measures is frequently constrained by a lack of individual data. Many countries, including China, continue to report income data in the form of aggregated income shares. In this context, the Beta Lorenz curve, introduced by Kakwani (Econometrica, 48, 1980), has become a standard tool for reconstructing income distributions at both academic and institutional levels. Notably, alongside the General Quadratic (GQ) Lorenz curve, it represents the primary specification used by the World Bank to construct its official poverty estimates when microdata is unavailable. In this paper, we demonstrate that Kawani's model fails to satisfy the formal requirements of a genuine Lorenz curve. To address this, we identify the specific constraints that ensure the theoretical validity of this model and introduce a new family of Lorenz curves derived from the corrected parametric space. Our analysis, conducted across more than 2,000 datasets, reveals that our proposed four-parameter specification provides highly accurate estimates of several poverty and inequality measures. Our results show that this model consistently outperforms the GQ Lorenz curve, which we find tends to underestimate poverty in over 80 percent of the analyzed cases