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The Elliptically Optimal Confidence Interval: A Bivariate Extension of Wilson's Score Method

Constructing a confidence interval for the difference between two independent binomial proportions involves a nuisance direction that is not identified by the estimand. The one-sample Wilson score int...

👤 Nawaf Mohammed 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 147 📚 21

Spurious Predictability in Financial Machine Learning

Adaptive specification search generates statistically significant backtests even under martingale-difference nulls. We introduce a falsification audit testing complete predictive workflows against syn...

👤 Sotirios D. Nikolopoulos 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 144 📚 21

Emergence of Preferential Attachment and Glass-Ceiling Effects in Autonomous Networks of LLMs

We investigate the emergence of structural disparities in networks of collaborating large language model (LLM) agents. When LLM agents autonomously choose collaborators, the resulting communication ne...

👤 Yiming Zhang | Vikram Krishnamurthy 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 87 📚 21

The Econometrics of Utility Transferability in Dyadic Network Formation Models

This paper studies how to estimate an individual's taste for forming a connection with another individual in a network. It compares the difficulty of estimation with and without the assumption that ut...

👤 Joseph Marshall 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 67 📚 21

A Machine-Learning-Compatible Omnibus Test for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity

This study proposes a formal, computationally efficient nonparametric omnibus test for treatment-effect heterogeneity that is compatible with a broad class of estimators, including modern machine-lear...

👤 Elia Lapenta | Anthony Strittmatter | Pe... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 66 📚 21

Bellman Calibration for Marginalized Importance Weighting in Offline Reinforcement Learning

Marginalized importance weighting evaluates a target policy by reweighting offline state-action samples with its discounted occupancy ratio, characterized by an adjoint Bellman equation. Existing mini...

👤 Lars van der Laan | Nathan Kallus 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 56 📚 21

UniMate: One Unified Model to Animate Diverse Skeletons

Recent advances in automatic rigging now deliver animation-ready 3D assets at scale, yet generating the motion to drive them remains a bottleneck. Existing learned animators are topology-constrained: ...

👤 Linzhan Mou | Jiahui Lei | Zhiyang Dou |... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 45 📚 21

Forecasting and Explaining the Phillips Curve: A SHAP-Based Comparison of Machine Learning and Traditional Time-Series Models for Canadian Unemployment and Inflation

This study evaluates the out-of-sample forecasting ability of six model types: ARIMA, VAR, Random Forest, XGBoost, LSTM, and GRU, for monthly Canadian inflation from January 2012 to April 2026 (n = 17...

👤 Louis Agyekum 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 29 📚 21

FormalEvolve: Neuro-Symbolic Evolutionary Search for Diverse and Prover-Effective Autoformalization

Autoformalization aims to translate natural-language mathematics into compilable, machine-checkable statements. However, semantic consistency does not imply prover effectiveness: even semantically con...

👤 Haijian Lu|Wei Wang|Jing Liu 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 319 📚 20

Lift4D: Harmonizing Single-View 3D Estimation for 4D Reconstruction In-the-Wild

Reconstructing dynamic non-rigid objects from monocular video requires integrating visual cues from direct observations with data-driven priors over geometry and appearance. Prior approaches either le...

👤 Yehonathan Litman | Xiaoxuan Ma | Manan ... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 215 📚 20

Trajectory Stability and Signature Diagnostics for Comet-Based Interstellar Navigation

Interstellar objects (ISOs) motivate a coupled mission-design and inference question relevant to spacecraft dynamics and control in extreme environments: if volatile-rich, rotating comet-like bodies w...

👤 Bo Pieter Johannes Andrée 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 194 📚 20

Contrastive Learning for Authorship Verification

Our results show that contrastive learning outperforms a classification-based approach to authorship verification under the tested settings. We identify loss function, batch size, training duration, p...

👤 Peter Kirby 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 166 📚 20

Do Larger Models Really Win in Drug Discovery? A Benchmark Assessment of Model Scaling in AI-Driven Molecular Property and Activity Prediction

The rapid growth of molecular foundation models and general-purpose large language models has encouraged a scale-centric view of artificial intelligence in drug discovery, in which larger pretrained m...

👤 Jinjiang Guo 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 159 📚 20

Error Propagation in Spectral Functionals of Shrinkage Covariance Estimators: Perturbation Bounds and Calibrated Inference

Rolling covariance estimates feed two objects that are routinely treated as market structure. The first is the dominant eigenspace, monitored through the projector movement $\widehat D_{K,t}=\|\wideha...

👤 Ahmad Koman 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 100 📚 20

Online Neural Space Time Memory for Dynamic Novel View Synthesis

Online novel view synthesis from multi-view streaming videos faces a fundamental trade-off: maintaining a persistent, long-horizon memory to reconstruct temporarily occluded regions while operating un...

👤 Baback Elmieh | Lynn Tsai | Zeman Li | S... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 96 📚 20

SNAP3D: Physically Grounded 3D Parts for Assembly from a Single Image

Part-aware 3D asset generation enables applications such as editing, articulation, simulation, and fabrication, yet existing methods can generate visually complete individual parts without ensuring th...

👤 Yu-Rou Tuan | Hao-Tang Tsui | Nicolas Ug... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 80 📚 20

From Propagation to Protection: Risk-Aware Diffusion for Harm Minimization in Signed Social Networks

Real-world social relationships are not uniformly supportive. Information through hostile connections can increase resistance, anxiety, or misinformation rather than adoption. Classical models such as...

👤 Aaqib Zahoor | Janibul Bashir | Iqra Alt... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 78 📚 20

TokTier: Exact Stateful Tokenization for Agentic LLM Serving

LLM serving systems cache prompt KV state, yet most front ends still re-tokenize the full request text on every call. The cost lands on coding agents, which resubmit a long transcript after each small...

👤 Zhenyu Zhang | Zhichao Cao 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 73 📚 20

Change point analysis of high-dimensional data using random projections

This paper develops a novel change point identification method for high-dimensional data using random projections. By projecting high-dimensional time series into a one-dimensional space, we are able ...

👤 Yi Xu|Yeonwoo Rho 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 62 📚 20

Optimum Multiple Sampling Plan Based on the Process Capability Index $C_{py}$ Under Type-II Hybrid Censoring

This paper proposes a stage independent multiple sampling plan (SIMSP) to improve inspection efficiency by reducing the number of samples required at each sampling stage. Unlike conventional multiple ...

👤 Rajat Das | Tanmay Kayal | Yogesh Mani T... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 48 📚 20
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