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Event-Study Designs for Discrete Outcomes under Transition Independence

We develop a new identification strategy for average treatment effects on the treated (ATT) in panel data with discrete outcomes. Standard difference-in-differences (DiD) relies on parallel trends, wh...

👤 Young Ahn|Hiroyuki Kasahara 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 406 📚 49

Balancing Performance and Fairness in Explainable AI for Anomaly Detection in Distributed Power Plants Monitoring

Reliable anomaly detection in distributed power plant monitoring systems is essential for ensuring operational continuity and reducing maintenance costs, particularly in regions where telecom operator...

👤 Corneille Niyonkuru, Marcellin Atemkeng,... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 398 📚 49

Focused Weighted-Average Least Squares Estimator

We propose a focused weighted-average least squares (FWALS) estimator that addresses the computational burden of focused model averaging. By semi-orthogonalizing auxiliary regressors, the weighting pr...

👤 Shou-Yung Yin 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 64 📚 47

DreamPartGen: Semantically Grounded Part-Level 3D Generation via Collaborative Latent Denoising

Understanding and generating 3D objects as compositions of meaningful parts is fundamental to human perception and reasoning. However, most text-to-3D methods overlook the semantic and functional stru...

👤 Tianjiao Yu, Xinzhuo Li, Muntasir Wahed,... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 97 📚 44

Evaluating Game Difficulty in Tetris Block Puzzle

Tetris Block Puzzle is a single player stochastic puzzle in which a player places blocks on an 8 x 8 grid to complete lines; its popular variants have amassed tens of millions of downloads. Despite th...

👤 Chun-Jui Wang, Jian-Ting Guo, Hung Guei,... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 148 📚 40

Physics-Informed Neural Network with Adaptive Clustering Learning Mechanism for Information Popularity Prediction

With society entering the Internet era, the volume and speed of data and information have been increasing. Predicting the popularity of information cascades can help with high-value information delive...

👤 Guangyin Jin|Xiaohan Ni|Yanjie Song|Kun ... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 226 📚 38

Bandwidth Selection for Spatial HAC Standard Errors

Spatial autocorrelation in regression models can lead to downward biased standard errors and thus incorrect inference. The most common correction in applied economics is the spatial heteroskedasticity...

👤 Alexander Lehner 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 196 📚 36

ARMOR: Adaptive Resilience Against Model Poisoning Attacks in Continual Federated Learning for Mobile Indoor Localization

Indoor localization has become increasingly essential for applications ranging from asset tracking to delivering personalized services. Federated learning (FL) offers a privacy-preserving approach by ...

👤 Danish Gufran|Akhil Singampalli|Sudeep P... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 81 📚 36

Conformalized Robust Principal Component Analysis

Robust principal component analysis (RPCA) is a widely used technique for recovering low-rank structure from matrices with missing entries and sparse, possibly large-magnitude corruptions. Although nu...

👤 Liangliang Yuan|Lei Wang|Quan Kong|Liuhu... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 80 📚 36

Estimands and the Choice of Non-Inferiority Margin under ICH E9(R1)

Since the release of the ICH E9(R1) addendum on estimands, its application in non-inferiority trials has received far less attention than in superiority settings. A key conclusion from Lynggaard et al...

👤 Tobias Mütze|Helle Lynggaard|Sunita Reha... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 65 📚 36

Murmurations, Mestre--Nagao sums, and Convolutional Neural Networks for elliptic curves

We apply one-dimensional convolutional neural networks to the Frobenius traces of elliptic curves over $\mathbb{Q}$ and evaluate and interpret their predictive capacity. In keeping with similar experi...

👤 Joanna Bieri, Edgar Costa, Alyson Deines... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 83 📚 35

Quantile-based modeling of scale dynamics in financial returns for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasting

We introduce a semiparametric approach for forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) by modeling the conditional scale of financial returns, defined as the difference between two spe...

👤 Xiaochun Liu|Richard Luger 📰 International Journal of Forecasting 📅 2026 👁 170 📚 33

FloeNet: A mass-conserving global sea ice emulator that generalizes across climates

We introduce FloeNet, a machine-learning emulator trained on the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory global sea ice model, SIS2. FloeNet is a mass-conserving model, emulating 6-hour mass and area bu...

👤 William Gregory|Mitchell Bushuk|James Du... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 500 📚 32

Statistical Inference for Score Decompositions

We introduce inference methods for score decompositions, which partition scoring functions for predictive assessment into three interpretable components: miscalibration, discrimination, and uncertaint...

👤 Timo Dimitriadis|Marius Puke 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 517 📚 30

Climate-Aware Copula Models for Sovereign Rating Migration Risk

This paper develops a copula-based time-series framework for modelling sovereign credit rating activity and its dependence dynamics, with extensions incorporating climate risk. We introduce a mixed-di...

👤 Marina Palaisti 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 186 📚 30

Orchestrating Human-AI Software Delivery: A Retrospective Longitudinal Field Study of Three Software Modernization Programs

Evidence on AI in software engineering still leans heavily toward individual task completion, while evidence on team-level delivery remains scarce. We report a retrospective longitudinal field study o...

👤 Maximiliano Armesto|Christophe Kolb 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 278 📚 29

IntraShuffler: A Privacy Preserving Framework for Heterogeneous DP Federated Learning

Heterogeneous Differential Privacy (HDP) in Federated Learning (FL) allows clients to select individual privacy budgets ($\varepsilon_i$) according to institutional policies and data sensitivity. In p...

👤 Farhin Farhad Riya | Olivera Kotevska | ... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 213 📚 29

vPET-ABC: Fast Voxelwise Approximate Bayesian Inference for Kinetic Modeling in PET

Dynamic PET kinetic modeling increasingly demands voxelwise uncertainty quantification and robust model selection. Yet total-body PET (TB-PET) data volumes make conventional Bayesian approaches, such ...

👤 Qinlin Gu|Gaelle M. Emvalomenos|Evan D. ... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 108 📚 29

Highly Adaptive Empirical Risk Minimization with Principal Components

The Highly Adaptive Lasso (HAL) delivers unprecedented guarantees in nonparametric minimum loss estimation under minimal smoothness assumptions, such as dimension-free minimax optimal rates. However, ...

👤 Carlos García Meixide, Mingxun Wang, Ale... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 226 📚 26

On min-Storey estimators for multiple testing and conformal novelty detection

In a multiple testing task, finding an appropriate estimator of the proportion $π_0$ of non-signal in the data to boost power of false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedures is a long-standing re...

👤 Gao Zijun, Roquain Etienne 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 345 📚 25
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