登录 注册

Regime Detection in Latent Factor 模型 (Model)s -- A 贝叶斯 (Bayesian) Decision-Theoretic Approach
Regime Detection in Latent Factor Models -- A Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Approach

🔗 访问原文
🔗 Access Paper

📝 摘要
Abstract

Regime-switching multi-factor models are widely used in quantitative finance, but filtering does not by itself determine when an agent should act on inferred regime changes. We formulate online regime detection with latent factors and hidden regimes as a Bayesian decision problem balancing false alarms, detection delay, and misclassification. Since posterior regime probabilities are generally non-Markovian, the problem is represented as a measure-valued optimal stopping problem and approximated using particle filtering with Monte Carlo dynamic programming. A single-change-point Heston model provides a benchmark. With observed variance, the problem reduces to a two-dimensional Markov free-boundary problem, while under latent variance decisions are based on the filtered posterior measure. Numerical experiments in Heston and regime-switching Vasicek models show that the latent-information procedure can outperform feasible plug-in rules.

📊 文章统计
Article Statistics

基础数据
Basic Stats

161 浏览
Views
0 下载
Downloads
12 引用
Citations

引用趋势
Citation Trend

阅读国家分布
Country Distribution

阅读机构分布
Institution Distribution

月度浏览趋势
Monthly Views

相关关键词
Related Keywords

影响因子分析
Impact Analysis

5.40 综合评分
Overall Score
引用影响力
Citation Impact
浏览热度
View Popularity
下载频次
Download Frequency

📄 相关文章
Related Articles

海洋智能分析Ocean AI Analysis

正在分析中,请稍候…Analyzing, please wait…
海洋智能体 🌊
海洋智能体
AI科研助手 · 4376篇文献
我看到你正在阅读一篇文献,需要我帮你解读摘要、推荐相关论文,或者分析研究方法论吗?