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Online Supervised Dimension Reduction with Random Features: Diagnostics and Computational Trade-offs

Accurate optimization of a supervised spectral objective need not produce an accurate population subspace or a better predictive representation. We investigate these distinctions for Online Kernel Sup...

👤 Zhenlin Yao | Wei Xiong 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 131 📚 26

A central limit theorem for the random assignment problem

Let \(C_n\) be the minimum cost of a perfect matching in an \(n\times n\) matrix of independent uniform random variables. We prove that \[ \sqrt n\{C_n-ζ(2)\} \ \Longrightarrow\ \mathcal N\bigl(0,4ζ(2...

👤 Gilles Mordant 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 114 📚 26

How Much of a 10-K Matters? Aggregation-Dependent Value of Full-Text versus Risk-Factor Sentiment

Financial sentiment extraction has largely relied on news text and supervised extraction against return labels alone, leaving 10-K filings -- and volatility, the target risk disclosure is arguably bes...

👤 Sanggyu Sean Choi 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 96 📚 26

FlowSN: Neural Simulation-Based Inference under Realistic Selection Effects applied to Supernova Cosmology

We present FlowSN, a statistical framework using simulation-based inference (SBI) with normalising flows to account for selection effects in observational astronomy. Failure to account for selection e...

👤 Benjamin M. Boyd|Kaisey S. Mandel|Matthe... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 70 📚 26

Machine-Learning Emulation of Satellite Greenhouse Gas Retrievals: Stability over Time

Retrieval algorithms are used to estimate atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs), such as carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4), by solving inverse problems from high-spectral-resoluti...

👤 Nugzar Gognadze | Motonobu Kanagawa | Yu... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 42 📚 26

Distill Globally, Adapt Locally: Reasoning Distillation and Product-Type Test-Time Training for Scalable Trade-Up Recommendation

Trade-up recommendation identifies higher-quality alternatives that preserve a customer's purchase intent while offering upgraded benefits. Large language models (LLMs) can reason about such distincti...

👤 Siliang Liu | Mohammad Ghasemi | Sapan P... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 39 📚 26

Improved Approximation Algorithms for n-Pairs Shortest Paths

Let $G = (V, E)$ be a graph with $n = |V|$ nodes and $m = |E|$ edges. The $t$-Pairs Shortest Paths problem, introduced by Cohen [FOCS'93; SICOMP'99], asks to approximate the distances between $t$ pres...

👤 Avi Kadria | Liam Roditty | Virginia Vas... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 33 📚 26

Mixed difference integer-valued GARCH model for $ \mathbb{Z}$-valued time series

In this paper, we introduce flexible observation-driven $\mathbb{Z}$-valued time series models constructed from mixtures of negative and non-negative components. Compared to models based on the standa...

👤 Abdelhakim Aknouche, Christian Francq, Y... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 523 📚 25

On min-Storey estimators for multiple testing and conformal novelty detection

In a multiple testing task, finding an appropriate estimator of the proportion $π_0$ of non-signal in the data to boost power of false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedures is a long-standing re...

👤 Gao Zijun, Roquain Etienne 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 360 📚 25

Estimating Item Difficulty with Large Language Models as Experts

Accurate estimates of item difficulty are essential for valid assessment and effective adaptive learning. However, for newly created tasks, response data are typically unavailable. Pretesting and expe...

👤 Diana Kolesnikova | Kirill Fedyanin | Ab... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 217 📚 25

TLNM: Externally Validated Tooth Detection, Numbering and Segmentation from Smartphone Photographs Using Mask R-CNN

Oral health issues affect billions globally, but the cost and limited access to professional dental care hinder preventive oral healthcare. Research relies on clinical-grade radiographs or intraoral c...

👤 Arash Nedaei | Henna Tiensuu | Elina Väy... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 203 📚 25

Cross-Stock Predictability via LLM-Augmented Semantic Networks

Text-based financial networks are increasingly used to study cross-stock return predictability. A common approach constructs links from similarities in firms' disclosure embeddings, but such networks ...

👤 Yikuan Huang | Zheqi Fan | Kaiqi Hu | Yi... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 200 📚 25

QVal: Cheaply Evaluating Dense Supervision Signals for Long-Horizon LLM Agents

LLM agents increasingly act over long horizons, where a single trajectory can contain hundreds or thousands of actions. In these settings, outcome-only rewards provide too sparse guidance, failing to ...

👤 Sergio Hernández-Gutiérrez | Matteo Merl... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 193 📚 25

Observable-Reduction-Guided Sparse Regression for Partially Observed Active-Quiescent Systems

Active-quiescent switching occurs in biological populations in which growth is confined to a proliferative active state, while cells may reversibly enter a nonproliferative quiescent state. Experiment...

👤 Kyle C. Nguyen | Kevin B. Flores 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 128 📚 25

On the Promises and Limits of Multi-omics Integration for Deconvolution: The HADACA3 Benchmark

Understanding the cellular composition of complex tissues, such as tumors, is a key challenge in biology and medicine. A common approach, known as deconvolution, aims to estimate the cellular composit...

👤 Hugo Barbot | Elise Amblard | Nicolas Ho... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 115 📚 25

Symptom clusters in Long COVID in the UK: prospective community-based cohort study using unsupervised machine learning

Long COVID is a condition usually defined by persisting symptoms following infection by the SARS-CoV-2 virus beyond the acute phase of infection. The condition has a significant impact on healthcare s...

👤 Jasmine Aherne | Ines Henriques-Cadby | ... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 108 📚 25

S2A3: Thompson Sampling and Stochastic Exposure Control for High-Stakes CATs

High-stakes computerized adaptive tests (CATs) require a continuous supply of calibrated items, yet traditional item piloting is slow, expensive, and operationally hazardous. We introduce the S2A3 fra...

👤 James Sharpnack | Alexander Tsigler | J.... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 96 📚 25

A Practical Guide to Instrumental Variables Methods with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

Instrumental variables (IV) methods are central to applied microeconomics. While classical approaches assume linear models with constant effects, recent literature has shifted toward the local average...

👤 Tymon Słoczyński | Liyang Sun | S. Derya... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 80 📚 25

Probabilistic indirect models for undrained shear strength: addressing significant data missing and variability with advanced imputation and machine learning techniques

Accurate prediction of undrained shear strength (su) is crucial for geotechnical design, but is often hampered by substantial uncertainty in traditional empirical methods. This study uses the CLAY/10/...

👤 Haibin Xiong | Shaoheng Dai | Peng Lan |... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 68 📚 25

Understanding Venture Capital Syndication in Information Technology Sectors: A Network Formation Perspective

Venture capital syndication enables investors to pool diligence, share risk, and signal venture quality, while shaping the relationships through which investment networks develop. We examine how prior...

👤 Liheng Tan | Zhengkai Tu | Prasanna Karh... 📰 arXiv 📅 2026 👁 39 📚 25
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